If you follow the public handicappers who regularly post their picks on the popular handicapping sites or if you read them in past performance forms, you know that they often list their best bet(s) of the day. The problem with best bets is that they are usually bet so heavily by the public that they may really win a lot, but you still 토토사이트 make a profit with them.
Wouldn’t it be nice to be able to separate the good best bets and the not so good ones? In other words, which best bets are really the best?
Here are a few horse racing tips that apply to best bets and picking winners in general.
- First of all, every day, at race tracks all over the world, horses go to post as the favorites, or the chalk as they’re sometimes called, even though the horse hasn’t done what is being asked of it. In other words, it may not have won at the distance, or on the surface, or at the track, that it is racing at today. These horses often fail. Why not? Don’t people often fail the first time they try something new? Though they haven’t proven that they can do it, they still are bet heavily. These are the types of horses to bet against. Especially when they are someone’s best bet.
- Horses coming back from a layoff may or may not be as good as they were before the layoff. While it is true that some trainers can condition a horse well enough to get a win first time out after an extended rest, unless the trainer has accomplished the feat before with that very horse, it is a shaky bet and should probably be avoided.
- Workouts are not races. There’s a big difference between working early in the morning on the track and actually facing stiff competition in a race. If the handicapper chooses the best of the day because it is working up to the race and looked good in morning workouts, it is better to pass.
Of course, all of this is based on the odds at post time. Any one of the above horses might be a reasonable bet if it was at long enough odds, but if it is bet heavily by the public, then it is a big risk for little reward. That is the problem with most of these premium bets, they offer so little in return for the risk involved. It is still horse racing and anything can happen, so if you must bet on a favorite, make sure it has proven it can do what is being asked of it and is in mid season form.